Weekly Forecast

The staple product of Arkansas Weather Report has long been a 7-Day forecast published once a week (usually on Sunday). This forecast is hand-made by meteorologist David Harrison and includes a detailed Forecast Discussion as seen below.

Forecast Discussion

Last Updated 11-02-25

Warmer conditions will return to the forecast this week as high pressure builds back over the region. Afternoon highs will be in the low to mid 70s each day, and overnight lows will warm into the upper 40s to mid 50s. Rain is not expected over the next seven days, but a dry cold front will at least bring a bit of cooler air to the state as we head into the weekend.

Upper-level troughing will be moving off to our east at the start of the period as a broad upper-level ridge builds to our west. This ridge is forecast to expand across the southern Plains and lower Mississippi Valley on Monday, and associated surface high pressure will develop over the region in response. These features will remain largely stationary throughout much of the forecast period and will be the primary drivers of the Arkansas weather this week. Monday morning will be the coldest of the week with temperatures dipping near freezing by sunrise. Much of the state could see patchy frost on elevated surfaces during the morning hours, but this will burn off quickly as ample sunshine helps us warm into the mid 60s by Monday afternoon. Southerly flow will develop across the region on Tuesday, and this will spark a warming trend that will persist through midweek. Temperatures will warm into the low 70s by Tuesday afternoon before climbing into the mid 70s on Wednesday and Thursday. Overnight lows will also be unseasonably mild in the low to mid 50s.

We will start to see a shift in the synoptic weather pattern on Friday as the upper-level ridge breaks down. This will allow upper-level northwesterly flow to develop across the region, and Arkansas temperatures will cool a few degrees as a result. By Saturday, an amplified trough is forecast to track across the Plains and drag a trailing cold front into the region. Moisture will be limited with this system, and rainfall is not expected to accompany this frontal passage. Instead, the front will bring a noticeably cooler airmass into Arkansas, and highs will dip back into the low to mid 60s on Sunday. Strong northwesterly flow behind the boundary is currently forecast to persist beyond the end of the period, and this may help maintain the cooler temperatures into next week. Have a good week!

Acknowledgements: This forecast was produced using surface and upper-air observations, radar and satellite observations, and numerical weather prediction models provided by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Weather Service.